Post by airkeeper on Aug 23, 2022 20:42:08 GMT
MLS site had some piece about odd of making playoffs, and here is the bit about us—finally someone other than us at this forum calling out the fact Lagerwey made no moves in the window….
“Place: 9th in the West (33 points, 1.27 PPG)
Games remaining: 8
Odds of making the playoffs, per FiveThirtyEight: 52%
Um, would it be cool if we could just skip this section? Is that alright with everyone? No, no, it’s not because I’m afraid of the wrath of the city of Seattle and Sounders fans everywhere. Pshht, that’s not it at all. I’m also totally not afraid of ending up on MLS Images That Preceded Unfortunate Events for the second time.
Okay, I lied. I’m afraid of both of those things. I’m not sure the Sounders are making the playoffs this year. They’re already thin in midfield and now it looks like Cristian Roldan could miss a couple of weeks. That’s not a good sign for this team. On the whole, Seattle are sitting just on the positive side of FBref’s xGD metric, which is encouraging. But without reinforcements in the now-closed Secondary Transfer Window, Seattle’s 13-year playoff streak could be about to come to an end.
Verdict: No playoffs”
www.mlssoccer.com/news/who-the-analytics-like-in-the-western-conference-playoff-race
Well, the odds were calculated by FiveThirtyEight, but the MLS writer pronounced the “verdict” of making or not making the playoffs. It seems C.Roldan’s injury with no new blood is the deciding factor (other than just picking the three clubs with the highest percentages). Not much thought went into the write up, IMO. I’d be interested to see the original FiveThirtyEight data.
Bulletin board material for sure.